FORECASTING OF GROSS AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT OF AGRARIAN ENTERPRISES OF UKRAINE: CASE STUDY WITH STELLA SOFTWARE
PBN-AR
Instytucja
Wydział Matematyki, Informatyki i Architektury Krajobrazu (Katolicki Uniwersytet Lubelski Jana Pawła II w Lublinie)
Informacje podstawowe
Główny język publikacji
angielski
Czasopismo
 Economic Studies (Ikonomicheski Izsledvania)
ISSN
-
EISSN
-
Wydawca
DOI
URL
Rok publikacji
2019
Numer zeszytu
5
Strony od-do
148-163
Numer tomu
28
Link do pełnego tekstu
Identyfikator DOI
Liczba arkuszy
Słowa kluczowe
en
modeling
gross agricultural
production
Ukraine
Streszczenia
Język
en
Treść
The article is devoted to the forecasting of gross agricultural output of agrarian enterprises of Ukraine with an application of STELLA program. The STELLA economic modelling program, which combines mathematical differential equations with a developed graphical interface, has been used in the article. In this program a model was created and an attempt was made to forecast the gross agricultural output of agrarian enterprises of Ukraine by 2030. It has been the possible growth up to UAH 147319 mln UA of output of agricultural enterprises (PRODUCTION) with a slight reduction and further stabilization of the agricultural land (AREA) at the level of 22600 thousand hectares, a constant increase in fertilizers to 135 kg per hectare (FERTILIZATION) and a steady growth of enterprises up to 60900 (ENTERP). The most promising possibilities for applying STELLA program in economic forecasting have been outlined in the article.
Cechy publikacji
Oryginalny artykuł naukowy
Inne
System-identifier
PX-5e4cf82ad5def3ede0fed4c3